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Red177
248183.6
642447.8
178135.6
Blue10
32329.7
907313.0
942912.7
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14343010020017710

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+31Auto
+119Teleop
+141Endgame
+167Fouls
AutonomousRed +31
3Leave3
7Coral scored#1
34Coral points3
37Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +88
16Coral scored#0
56Coral points0
2Processor algae#0
5Net algae#0
12Processor points0
20Net points0
32Algae points0
88Total teleop0
Reef
6L4#1
7L3#0
7L2#0
3L1 · trough#0
30Game pieces#1
BargeRed +22
26Cage & park4
26Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +167
26Foul points0
177Total score10

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
83.63.4
51.354.7
Auto19.9
Teleop52.4
End11.3
red by 53.8
323
#21
29.74.0
24.920.9
Auto5.8
Teleop20.6
End3.3
Second
47.83.4
37.641.0
Auto12.8
Teleop25.8
End9.3
red by 34.9
9073
#15
13.04.0
12.08.0
Auto6.2
Teleop5.3
End1.4
Third
1781
#22
35.63.4
28.732.0
Auto6.4
Teleop26.8
End2.3
red by 22.9
9429
#29
12.74.0
9.25.2
Auto3.4
Teleop8.1
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
76%Auto oddsEarned36%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsEarned6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
69%Barge oddsEarned24%Barge oddsMissed