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Red163
1639.2
178135.6
449960.3
Blue111
17947.2
618622.8
239930.4
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1271026080120140160163111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
+46Teleop
+44Endgame
+52Fouls
AutonomousRed +11
9Leave9
6Coral scored#3
28Coral points17
37Total auto26
TeleoperatedRed +35
18Coral scored#14
66Coral points51
3Processor algae#1
5Net algae#3
18Processor points6
20Net points12
38Algae points18
104Total teleop69
Reef
12L4#6
5L3#5
4L2#4
3L1 · trough#2
32Game pieces#21
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +52
8Foul points0
163Total score111

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
60.33.6
44.648.2
Auto13.2
Teleop38.6
End8.6
red by 13.1
179
#11
47.20.9
44.145.0
Auto14.7
Teleop27.9
End4.7
Second
16
#8
39.23.6
34.538.0
Auto9.6
Teleop27.1
End2.5
red by 8.8
2399
#23
30.40.9
30.931.8
Auto4.6
Teleop21.4
End4.4
Third
1781
#22
35.63.6
32.636.2
Auto6.4
Teleop26.8
End2.3
red by 12.8
6186
#17
22.80.9
16.517.4
Auto6.8
Teleop12.7
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
67%Auto oddsEarned60%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
13%Coral oddsEarned18%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
70%Barge oddsEarned67%Barge oddsEarned