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Red92
942912.7
543714.9
17947.2
Blue50
239930.4
450040.6
658614.8
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions75944060801001209250

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+18Auto
+24Teleop
+22Endgame
+42Fouls
AutonomousRed +18
6Leave6
5Coral scored#1
24Coral points6
30Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +6
8Coral scored#5
30Coral points18
0Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
0Processor points6
8Net points8
8Algae points14
38Total teleop32
Reef
5L4#3
3L3#1
2L2#1
3L1 · trough#1
15Game pieces#9
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +42
20Foul points0
92Total score50

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
179
#11
47.20.5
47.448.0
Auto14.7
Teleop27.9
End4.7
red by 6.7
40.63.6
37.233.6
Auto11.3
Teleop23.6
End5.7
Second
5437
#24
14.90.5
11.812.4
Auto5.3
Teleop8.8
End0.7
blue by 15.5
2399
#23
30.43.6
31.527.8
Auto4.6
Teleop21.4
End4.4
Third
9429
#29
12.70.5
7.98.5
Auto3.4
Teleop8.1
End1.2
blue by 2.1
6586
#28
14.83.6
14.010.4
Auto4.9
Teleop9.9
End0.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
25%Auto oddsEarned70%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
9%Coral oddsMissed16%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
45%Barge oddsMissed33%Barge oddsMissed