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Red116
642447.8
1639.2
752527.0
Blue41
234120.6
1010115.2
725516.0
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12852010015011641

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+65Teleop
+63Endgame
+75Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
9Leave6
4Coral scored#1
21Coral points3
30Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +44
10Coral scored#3
36Coral points12
2Processor algae#0
3Net algae#1
12Processor points0
12Net points4
24Algae points4
60Total teleop16
Reef
7L4#1
3L3#1
3L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
19Game pieces#5
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +75
12Foul points0
116Total score41

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.81.5
46.845.3
Auto12.8
Teleop25.8
End9.3
red by 27.2
2341
#20
20.62.3
18.115.7
Auto3.4
Teleop13.1
End4.1
Second
16
#8
39.21.5
40.338.8
Auto9.6
Teleop27.1
End2.5
red by 23.2
7255
#27
16.02.3
13.711.3
Auto2.7
Teleop9.3
End4.0
Third
7525
#16
27.01.5
21.920.4
Auto9.6
Teleop15.8
End1.6
red by 11.9
15.22.3
22.019.7
Auto2.0
Teleop10.3
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
74%Auto oddsEarned36%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
18%Coral oddsMissed13%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
65%Barge oddsEarned34%Barge oddsEarned