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Red81
234120.6
748319.1
642447.8
Blue125
248183.6
725516.0
791726.1
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions91115608010014016081125

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+34
Endgame+44
Fouls+44
AutonomousBlue +7
6Leave9
3Coral scored#4
17Coral points21
23Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +27
8Coral scored#12
28Coral points43
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#5
6Processor points6
8Net points20
14Algae points26
42Total teleop69
Reef
5L4#6
3L3#5
2L2#3
1L1 · trough#2
14Game pieces#22
BargeBlue +10
16Cage & park26
16Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +44
0Foul points0
81Total score125

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.80.2
47.447.2
Auto12.8
Teleop25.8
End9.3
blue by 35.7
83.62.2
71.773.9
Auto19.9
Teleop52.4
End11.3
Second
2341
#20
20.60.2
20.119.9
Auto3.4
Teleop13.1
End4.1
blue by 5.5
7917
#25
26.12.2
20.022.1
Auto6.6
Teleop14.5
End5.0
Third
7483
#26
19.10.2
15.915.7
Auto3.2
Teleop13.3
End2.5
red by 3.1
7255
#27
16.02.2
10.712.9
Auto2.7
Teleop9.3
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
68%Auto oddsEarned72%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
11%Coral oddsMissed25%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
71%Barge oddsEarned70%Barge oddsEarned