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Qual 512025 Arkansas Regional
Red128
203639.0
748319.1
320139.0
Blue100
942912.7
450040.6
618622.8
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions917020406080100120140128100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
+14Teleop
+34Endgame
+28Fouls
AutonomousBlue +7
6Leave6
3Coral scored#5
17Coral points24
23Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +21
13Coral scored#8
47Coral points30
2Processor algae#2
5Net algae#4
12Processor points12
20Net points16
32Algae points28
79Total teleop58
Reef
8L4#5
4L3#3
2L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
23Game pieces#19
BargeRed +20
26Cage & park6
26Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +28
0Foul points6
128Total score100

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3201
#12
39.03.2
34.5→37.7
Auto5.7
Teleop22.7
End10.6
blue by 1.5
4500
#6
40.61.6
35.9→37.5
Auto11.3
Teleop23.6
End5.7
Second
2036
#10
39.03.2
32.7→35.9
Auto9.4
Teleop23.7
End5.9
red by 16.2
6186
#17
22.81.6
18.9→20.5
Auto6.8
Teleop12.7
End3.3
Third
7483
#26
19.13.2
13.5→16.7
Auto3.2
Teleop13.3
End2.5
red by 6.4
9429
#29
12.71.6
10.5→12.1
Auto3.4
Teleop8.1
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
78%Auto oddsEarned46%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
2%Coral oddsMissed27%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
76%Barge oddsEarned36%Barge oddsMissed