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Red148
449960.3
11870.2
450040.6
Blue38
178135.6
942912.7
1010115.2
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1616805010015020014838

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+38Auto
+80Teleop
+104Endgame
+110Fouls
AutonomousRed +38
9Leave3
7Coral scored#1
35Coral points3
44Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +42
12Coral scored#6
42Coral points20
3Processor algae#1
3Net algae#1
18Processor points6
12Net points4
30Algae points10
72Total teleop30
Reef
6L4#2
6L3#2
3L2#2
4L1 · trough#1
25Game pieces#9
BargeRed +24
26Cage & park2
26Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +110
6Foul points0
148Total score38

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
118
#4
70.20.3
63.763.4
Auto16.4
Teleop44.4
End9.3
red by 34.6
1781
#22
35.64.6
33.328.7
Auto6.4
Teleop26.8
End2.3
Second
60.30.4
43.042.5
Auto13.2
Teleop38.6
End8.6
red by 45.2
15.24.6
21.216.6
Auto2.0
Teleop10.3
End2.9
Third
40.60.4
28.127.7
Auto11.3
Teleop23.6
End5.7
red by 27.9
9429
#29
12.74.6
13.89.2
Auto3.4
Teleop8.1
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
82%Auto oddsEarned39%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
37%Coral oddsEarned8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
84%Barge oddsEarned33%Barge oddsMissed