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Red47
96089.5
658614.8
906729.9
Blue80
1639.2
500233.6
618622.8
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5480020401001201404780

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+17
Endgame+21
Fouls+33
AutonomousBlue +3
3Leave6
1Coral scored#1
3Coral points3
6Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +14
8Coral scored#10
29Coral points37
1Processor algae#2
1Net algae#1
6Processor points12
4Net points4
10Algae points16
39Total teleop53
Reef
4L4#3
2L3#4
2L2#3
1L1 · trough#1
11Game pieces#14
BargeBlue +4
2Cage & park6
2Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +33
0Foul points12
47Total score80

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9067
#18
29.90.2
22.922.7
Auto6.2
Teleop22.5
End1.2
blue by 9.3
16
#8
39.20.1
35.435.4
Auto9.6
Teleop27.1
End2.5
Second
6586
#28
14.80.2
14.614.4
Auto4.9
Teleop9.9
End0.0
blue by 18.8
5002
#14
33.60.1
17.417.5
Auto6.1
Teleop23.5
End4.0
Third
9608
#30
9.50.2
11.411.2
Auto1.3
Teleop6.4
End1.8
blue by 13.2
6186
#17
22.80.1
14.514.6
Auto6.8
Teleop12.7
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
26%Auto oddsMissed38%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
22%Barge oddsMissed30%Barge oddsEarned