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Red55
99757.1
587613.3
598533.3
Blue33
99817.3
533111.6
649723.5
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions546501001505533

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+24Auto
+24Teleop
+28Endgame
+22Fouls
AutonomousRed +24
3Leave3
5Coral scored#0
24Coral points0
27Total auto3
Teleoperatedlevel
4Coral scored#4
14Coral points14
0Processor algae#0
1Net algae#1
0Processor points0
4Net points4
4Algae points4
18Total teleop18
Reef
4L4#1
3L3#1
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
10Game pieces#5
BargeRed +4
8Cage & park4
8Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +22
2Foul points8
55Total score33

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.30.3
28.728.9
Auto13.2
Teleop14.7
End5.3
red by 9.8
6497
#20
23.51.9
29.427.5
Auto6.5
Teleop12.4
End4.5
Second
5876
#15
13.30.3
14.014.3
Auto4.2
Teleop5.3
End3.7
red by 1.7
5331
#18
11.61.9
14.112.2
Auto2.8
Teleop4.3
End4.5
Third
9975
#12
7.10.4
6.56.9
Auto1.2
Teleop3.7
End2.3
blue by 0.3
9981
#16
7.33.2
10.77.4
Auto3.0
Teleop4.1
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
28%Auto oddsMissed64%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
2%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
54%Barge oddsMissed48%Barge oddsMissed