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Red121
313255.6
998013.4
598815.5
Blue46
75837.5
998413.7
998816.0
87%Model gave it13%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8737020608010012014016012146

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
+41Teleop
+51Endgame
+75Fouls
AutonomousRed +11
0Leave3
5Coral scored#2
23Coral points9
23Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +30
11Coral scored#7
40Coral points24
1Processor algae#0
3Net algae#1
6Processor points0
12Net points4
18Algae points4
58Total teleop28
Reef
8L4#4
4L3#2
2L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
20Game pieces#10
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +75
24Foul points0
121Total score46

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
55.61.7
50.251.9
Auto11.2
Teleop38.7
End5.6
red by 39.6
9988
#26
16.01.2
9.510.7
Auto3.7
Teleop9.8
End2.6
Second
5988
#13
15.51.7
10.312.0
Auto5.9
Teleop5.2
End4.2
red by 1.7
9984
#17
13.71.2
14.615.9
Auto5.9
Teleop6.2
End1.7
Third
9980
#23
13.42.8
5.68.5
Auto4.8
Teleop6.6
End2.2
red by 5.9
7583
#32
7.50.7
4.75.5
Auto2.9
Teleop3.9
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
27%Auto oddsEarned27%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
56%Barge oddsEarned12%Barge oddsMissed