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Red38
998714.6
998413.7
533111.6
Blue65
649723.5
651049.8
1000218.8
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions371150501001502003865

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
Teleop+25
Endgame+31
Fouls+27
AutonomousBlue +4
6Leave6
2Coral scored#3
12Coral points16
18Total auto22
TeleoperatedBlue +21
2Coral scored#5
6Coral points17
0Processor algae#1
0Net algae#1
0Processor points6
0Net points4
0Algae points10
6Total teleop27
Reef
1L4#2
2L3#3
0L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
4Game pieces#10
BargeBlue +6
10Cage & park16
10Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +27
4Foul points0
38Total score65

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9987
#28
14.60.6
15.214.6
Auto3.7
Teleop9.0
End2.1
blue by 35.3
49.82.1
51.549.3
Auto12.3
Teleop31.7
End5.9
Second
9984
#17
13.70.6
14.013.4
Auto5.9
Teleop6.2
End1.7
blue by 9.8
6497
#20
23.52.1
26.023.9
Auto6.5
Teleop12.4
End4.5
Third
5331
#18
11.60.4
10.910.5
Auto2.8
Teleop4.3
End4.5
blue by 7.2
18.82.1
19.517.3
Auto3.6
Teleop12.9
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
59%Auto oddsEarned83%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed14%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
29%Barge oddsMissed79%Barge oddsEarned