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Red86
477428.6
1000218.8
472914.3
Blue83
914718.4
651049.8
861336.5
8%Model gave it92%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5011801001502008683

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+17
+3Teleop
+3Endgame
+3Fouls
AutonomousBlue +17
3Leave6
2Coral scored#5
9Coral points23
12Total auto29
TeleoperatedRed +20
12Coral scored#7
42Coral points26
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
6Processor points6
12Net points8
18Algae points14
60Total teleop40
Reef
6L4#6
4L3#2
2L2#3
2L1 · trough#1
18Game pieces#15
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Penalties & totalRed +3
0Foul points0
86Total score83

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.60.6
27.127.7
Auto4.8
Teleop17.3
End6.5
blue by 21.3
49.80.5
49.348.9
Auto12.3
Teleop31.7
End5.9
Second
18.80.6
17.318.0
Auto3.6
Teleop12.9
End2.2
blue by 17.7
8613
#14
36.50.5
36.035.6
Auto8.3
Teleop22.7
End5.6
Third
4729
#24
14.30.6
12.813.5
Auto2.1
Teleop10.4
End1.7
blue by 4.1
9147
#31
18.40.5
17.917.5
Auto3.9
Teleop9.1
End5.4