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Red133
598533.3
473931.5
598815.5
Blue37
649723.5
643413.2
99909.2
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8148010015013337

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+23Auto
+78Teleop
+88Endgame
+96Fouls
AutonomousRed +23
0Leave6
6Coral scored#1
32Coral points3
32Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +55
16Coral scored#5
59Coral points18
1Processor algae#0
3Net algae#1
6Processor points0
12Net points4
18Algae points4
77Total teleop22
Reef
9L4#2
8L3#2
2L2#1
3L1 · trough#1
26Game pieces#7
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Penalties & totalRed +96
8Foul points0
133Total score37

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.31.1
31.532.6
Auto13.2
Teleop14.7
End5.3
red by 9.8
6497
#20
23.50.2
23.923.7
Auto6.5
Teleop12.4
End4.5
Second
31.51.1
29.630.7
Auto7.8
Teleop19.0
End4.6
red by 18.3
6434
#25
13.20.2
13.513.3
Auto3.1
Teleop5.9
End4.1
Third
5988
#13
15.51.1
13.614.7
Auto5.9
Teleop5.2
End4.2
red by 6.3
9990
#10
9.20.3
9.79.4
Auto5.3
Teleop2.3
End1.7