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Red181
558456.0
461359.4
608319.4
Blue119
472915.8
699634.0
743347.2
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1519850200181119

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+19Auto
+22Teleop
+44Endgame
+62Fouls
AutonomousRed +19
0Leave9
7Coral scored#1
35Coral points7
35Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +3
22Coral scored#17
80Coral points61
1Processor algae#3
4Net algae#5
6Processor points18
16Net points20
22Algae points38
102Total teleop99
Reef
13L4#7
8L3#6
4L2#3
4L1 · trough#2
34Game pieces#26
BargeRed +22
26Cage & park4
26Total endgame4
Penalties & totalRed +62
18Foul points0
181Total score119

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
59.40.7
58.859.4
Auto13.6
Teleop34.2
End11.7
red by 12.3
47.20.5
46.747.2
Auto7.1
Teleop39.0
End1.0
Second
56.00.7
55.256.0
Auto11.7
Teleop36.4
End8.0
red by 21.9
34.00.5
33.534.0
Auto6.2
Teleop21.2
End6.6
Third
6083
#16
19.40.7
18.619.4
Auto3.6
Teleop13.1
End2.7
red by 3.6
4729
#28
15.80.5
15.315.8
Auto2.0
Teleop14.2
End-0.4