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Red60
1000222.8
598520.9
712821.9
Blue104
643416.9
558456.0
64329.4
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions68686070809010060104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+34
Endgame+44
Fouls+44
AutonomousBlue +7
6Leave0
2Coral scored#5
10Coral points23
16Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +27
6Coral scored#10
20Coral points37
1Processor algae#0
0Net algae#4
6Processor points0
0Net points16
6Algae points16
26Total teleop53
Reef
3L4#6
2L3#3
2L2#4
1L1 · trough#2
9Game pieces#19
BargeBlue +10
16Cage & park26
16Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +44
2Foul points2
60Total score104

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.80.7
21.721.0
Auto4.8
Teleop16.9
End1.1
blue by 33.2
56.04.2
31.535.7
Auto11.7
Teleop36.4
End8.0
Second
7128
#10
21.90.7
15.614.9
Auto4.4
Teleop9.2
End8.2
red by 4.9
6434
#24
16.94.2
14.118.3
Auto4.6
Teleop8.5
End3.9
Third
5985
#27
20.90.7
24.323.6
Auto5.5
Teleop13.5
End2.0
red by 11.5
6432
#32
9.44.2
15.920.1
Auto3.9
Teleop2.8
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
46%Auto oddsEarned41%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
52%Barge oddsEarned45%Barge oddsEarned