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Red100
1031618.1
477434.7
649728.2
Blue28
75839.5
453725.4
647619.1
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions585430405070809010010028

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+34Teleop
+54Endgame
+72Fouls
Autonomouslevel
9Leave9
0Coral scored#0
0Coral points0
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +34
8Coral scored#3
29Coral points9
1Processor algae#0
3Net algae#1
6Processor points0
12Net points4
18Algae points4
47Total teleop13
Reef
4L4#1
2L3#1
1L2#0
1L1 · trough#1
12Game pieces#4
BargeRed +20
26Cage & park6
26Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +72
18Foul points0
100Total score28

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4774
#13
34.73.4
22.225.6
Auto4.8
Teleop21.2
End8.7
red by 9.3
4537
#31
25.42.3
21.919.6
Auto3.9
Teleop13.7
End7.8
Second
28.23.4
16.219.6
Auto6.4
Teleop16.0
End5.8
red by 9.1
6476
#22
19.12.3
11.59.2
Auto4.2
Teleop12.4
End2.5
Third
18.13.4
13.116.5
Auto2.4
Teleop14.5
End1.2
red by 8.6
7583
#37
9.52.3
15.112.9
Auto3.7
Teleop6.1
End-0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
31%Auto oddsMissed35%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
25%Barge oddsEarned29%Barge oddsMissed