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Red73
473923.4
1000222.8
Blue25
1035010.0
914719.3
958715.0
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions55460204060801007325

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+26Teleop
+24Endgame
+48Fouls
Autonomouslevel
0Leave6
2Coral scored#1
9Coral points3
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +26
9Coral scored#3
32Coral points10
0Processor algae#0
1Net algae#0
0Processor points0
4Net points0
4Algae points0
36Total teleop10
Reef
4L4#1
3L3#1
3L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
12Game pieces#4
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +48
24Foul points0
73Total score25

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.40.1
14.514.6
Auto5.7
Teleop13.1
End4.5
red by 4.1
9147
#21
19.31.9
16.314.4
Auto2.7
Teleop10.0
End6.6
Second
22.80.1
21.021.1
Auto4.8
Teleop16.9
End1.1
red by 7.8
9587
#12
15.01.9
11.69.7
Auto4.3
Teleop8.7
End2.0
Third
6.80.1
12.612.7
Auto1.5
Teleop4.5
End0.9
blue by 3.1
10.01.9
14.312.4
Auto3.1
Teleop4.5
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
38%Auto oddsEarned23%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
43%Barge oddsMissed37%Barge oddsMissed