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Red41
711312.3
649728.2
961613.2
Blue97
918911.5
313242.0
473923.4
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions46690204060801001204197

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+8
Teleop+48
Endgame+56
Fouls+56
AutonomousBlue +8
9Leave9
1Coral scored#2
3Coral points11
12Total auto20
TeleoperatedBlue +40
4Coral scored#11
13Coral points39
1Processor algae#2
1Net algae#3
6Processor points12
4Net points12
10Algae points24
23Total teleop63
Reef
1L4#5
2L3#4
1L2#3
1L1 · trough#1
7Game pieces#18
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +56
0Foul points0
41Total score97

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.21.2
21.620.4
Auto6.4
Teleop16.0
End5.8
blue by 13.7
42.03.4
32.836.2
Auto8.7
Teleop27.6
End5.7
Second
9616
#41
13.21.2
13.612.4
Auto4.0
Teleop7.6
End1.6
blue by 10.1
23.43.4
15.919.3
Auto5.7
Teleop13.1
End4.5
Third
7113
#35
12.31.2
7.96.7
Auto4.2
Teleop6.7
End1.4
red by 0.8
9189
#18
11.53.4
10.013.4
Auto4.4
Teleop5.3
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
22%Auto oddsEarned51%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
34%Barge oddsMissed53%Barge oddsEarned