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Red76
478851.9
997310.2
99868.8
Blue70
999510.8
999024.7
99850.5
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions92280501001507670

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+19Auto
+6Teleop
+4Endgame
+6Fouls
AutonomousRed +19
0Leave3
5Coral scored#1
25Coral points3
25Total auto6
TeleoperatedBlue +13
8Coral scored#11
29Coral points38
2Processor algae#2
1Net algae#2
12Processor points12
4Net points8
16Algae points20
45Total teleop58
Reef
4L4#5
5L3#4
2L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
16Game pieces#16
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +6
2Foul points0
76Total score70

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51.90.2
57.257.0
Auto11.5
Teleop36.6
End3.8
red by 27.2
9990
#12
24.74.0
16.220.2
Auto3.3
Teleop20.1
End1.3
Second
10.20.3
6.15.8
Auto3.0
Teleop5.8
End1.5
blue by 0.6
9995
#21
10.84.0
2.26.2
Auto1.7
Teleop7.9
End1.2
Third
9986
#11
8.80.3
7.16.9
Auto4.5
Teleop3.1
End1.2
red by 8.3
9985
#28
0.54.0
4.48.4
Auto0.1
Teleop-0.8
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
60%Auto oddsEarned33%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed1%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
69%Barge oddsMissed43%Barge oddsMissed