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Red74
943312.9
999510.8
1034234.0
Blue54
997214.7
887612.4
999712.5
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions64290501001502002507454

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+24Teleop
+26Endgame
+20Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
6Leave3
1Coral scored#1
3Coral points3
9Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +21
11Coral scored#7
41Coral points24
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
6Processor points6
12Net points8
18Algae points14
59Total teleop38
Reef
3L4#4
5L3#2
2L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
16Game pieces#11
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +20
0Foul points6
74Total score54

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.00.8
29.029.9
Auto5.3
Teleop27.5
End1.1
red by 19.3
9972
#16
14.70.4
9.49.1
Auto3.6
Teleop9.3
End1.7
Second
9433
#13
12.91.4
11.312.6
Auto3.8
Teleop6.6
End2.5
red by 0.4
9997
#10
12.50.4
10.910.6
Auto4.3
Teleop6.7
End1.5
Third
9995
#21
10.81.4
6.27.6
Auto1.7
Teleop7.9
End1.2
blue by 1.6
8876
#26
12.40.4
13.413.0
Auto3.3
Teleop7.8
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
45%Auto oddsMissed21%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
27%Barge oddsMissed8%Barge oddsMissed