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Red65
919124.5
999411.5
999116.6
Blue53
999613.6
99785.7
997214.7
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6035020801001201406553

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+6Auto
+4Teleop
+12Endgame
+12Fouls
AutonomousRed +6
0Leave9
3Coral scored#0
15Coral points0
15Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +2
8Coral scored#8
28Coral points28
0Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
0Processor points6
8Net points4
8Algae points10
36Total teleop38
Reef
4L4#2
3L3#2
2L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
13Game pieces#10
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +12
0Foul points0
65Total score53

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.51.3
25.326.6
Auto5.8
Teleop15.0
End3.8
red by 9.9
9972
#16
14.71.3
9.110.3
Auto3.6
Teleop9.3
End1.7
Second
16.61.3
10.211.5
Auto4.6
Teleop9.7
End2.3
red by 2.9
13.61.3
13.314.5
Auto2.8
Teleop8.9
End1.8
Third
11.51.3
7.58.8
Auto4.0
Teleop5.6
End1.9
red by 5.9
9978
#29
5.71.3
7.38.6
Auto2.1
Teleop3.2
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
25%Auto oddsEarned26%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
2%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
25%Barge oddsEarned14%Barge oddsMissed