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Red76
997922.5
999116.6
652412.7
Blue43
919124.5
99938.3
999024.7
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions565801001507643

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
+23Teleop
+23Endgame
+33Fouls
AutonomousBlue +4
3Leave3
2Coral scored#3
9Coral points13
12Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +27
9Coral scored#4
34Coral points13
1Processor algae#0
2Net algae#2
6Processor points0
8Net points8
14Algae points8
48Total teleop21
Reef
3L4#3
3L3#1
3L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
14Game pieces#9
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Penalties & totalRed +33
10Foul points0
76Total score43

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.50.5
21.321.8
Auto5.2
Teleop16.3
End1.0
blue by 2.2
9990
#12
24.70.3
23.423.1
Auto3.3
Teleop20.1
End1.3
Second
16.60.5
15.215.8
Auto4.6
Teleop9.7
End2.3
blue by 8.0
24.50.3
23.222.9
Auto5.8
Teleop15.0
End3.8
Third
6524
#25
12.70.5
11.411.9
Auto2.5
Teleop8.0
End2.2
red by 4.4
9993
#23
8.30.3
6.96.6
Auto1.9
Teleop5.0
End1.3