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Red106
943258.1
35964.7
764528.3
Blue136
699556.8
905916.9
656041.4
93%Model gave it7%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17311750100150200250106136

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+16
Endgame+6
Fouls+30
AutonomousBlue +10
3Leave6
3Coral scored#5
17Coral points24
20Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +6
17Coral scored#16
60Coral points56
1Processor algae#2
1Net algae#2
6Processor points12
4Net points8
10Algae points20
70Total teleop76
Reef
7L4#8
6L3#6
4L2#4
3L1 · trough#3
22Game pieces#25
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Penalties & totalBlue +30
0Foul points24
106Total score136

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
359
#1
64.71.2
67.366.1
Auto15.8
Teleop38.1
End10.7
red by 7.9
56.80.1
57.757.6
Auto14.9
Teleop34.8
End7.1
Second
58.11.2
60.759.5
Auto13.9
Teleop35.0
End9.1
red by 16.7
41.40.1
42.342.2
Auto4.6
Teleop29.6
End7.2
Third
7645
#28
28.31.2
30.929.7
Auto7.1
Teleop18.9
End2.3
red by 11.4
9059
#24
16.90.1
17.817.7
Auto4.1
Teleop10.9
End1.9