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Red62
80127.6
822943.9
240327.7
Blue22
456511.2
69819.8
970410.9
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8455020401001201406222

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+26Teleop
+40Endgame
+40Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
3Leave3
1Coral scored#0
3Coral points0
6Total auto3
TeleoperatedRed +23
8Coral scored#4
28Coral points15
1Processor algae#0
2Net algae#1
6Processor points0
8Net points4
14Algae points4
42Total teleop19
Reef
4L4#1
2L3#1
2L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
12Game pieces#5
BargeRed +14
14Cage & park0
14Total endgame0
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +40
0Foul points0
62Total score22

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.91.6
24.522.9
Auto8.2
Teleop27.5
End8.2
red by 24.1
698
#19
19.83.4
19.315.9
Auto1.5
Teleop16.4
End1.9
Second
2403
#22
27.71.6
32.130.5
Auto3.0
Teleop22.8
End2.0
red by 16.5
4565
#33
11.23.4
17.514.0
Auto2.5
Teleop5.0
End3.7
Third
8012
#31
7.61.6
13.612.0
Auto2.7
Teleop2.7
End2.2
blue by 3.3
9704
#32
10.93.4
13.19.7
Auto3.4
Teleop6.4
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
47%Auto oddsMissed40%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
47%Barge oddsEarned22%Barge oddsMissed