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Red99
330936.9
294523.3
116512.3
Blue143
943258.1
733321.2
248642.7
13%Model gave it87%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions70992040608012014016099143

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+21
Teleop+38
Endgame+40
Fouls+44
AutonomousBlue +21
3Leave0
4Coral scored#9
20Coral points44
23Total auto44
TeleoperatedBlue +17
11Coral scored#12
40Coral points43
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#4
6Processor points12
8Net points16
14Algae points28
54Total teleop71
Reef
4L4#6
5L3#8
4L2#4
2L1 · trough#3
18Game pieces#27
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +44
8Foul points12
99Total score143

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.91.7
26.428.2
Auto10.6
Teleop20.0
End6.3
blue by 21.2
58.15.2
33.738.9
Auto13.9
Teleop35.0
End9.1
Second
2945
#30
23.32.9
21.023.9
Auto4.0
Teleop17.8
End1.5
blue by 19.3
42.73.1
32.735.8
Auto10.2
Teleop23.8
End8.7
Third
1165
#25
12.32.9
17.420.3
Auto5.3
Teleop4.5
End2.4
blue by 9.0
7333
#23
21.25.2
18.123.3
Auto2.6
Teleop16.0
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
70%Auto oddsEarned71%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
29%Barge oddsEarned85%Barge oddsEarned