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Red50
240327.7
764528.3
300920.7
Blue60
733321.2
301914.7
414627.5
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9768204060801201405060

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+14
Endgame+10
Fouls+10
Autonomouslevel
9Leave0
0Coral scored#2
0Coral points9
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +14
7Coral scored#11
25Coral points41
1Processor algae#0
1Net algae#2
6Processor points0
4Net points8
10Algae points8
35Total teleop49
Reef
2L4#5
2L3#3
2L2#3
1L1 · trough#2
9Game pieces#15
BargeRed +4
6Cage & park2
6Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +10
0Foul points0
50Total score60

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7645
#28
28.32.0
27.325.3
Auto7.1
Teleop18.9
End2.3
red by 0.8
4146
#21
27.50.1
18.118.2
Auto3.1
Teleop23.0
End1.4
Second
2403
#22
27.73.3
29.926.6
Auto3.0
Teleop22.8
End2.0
red by 6.5
7333
#23
21.20.1
24.724.8
Auto2.6
Teleop16.0
End2.7
Third
3009
#16
20.72.0
19.617.6
Auto3.3
Teleop10.9
End6.5
red by 6.0
3019
#38
14.70.1
13.313.4
Auto2.3
Teleop11.5
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
68%Auto oddsMissed40%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
44%Barge oddsMissed31%Barge oddsMissed