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Red89
905916.9
330936.9
121226.3
Blue94
656041.4
69819.8
300920.7
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions68862040601001201408994

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+11Teleop
Endgame+9
Fouls+5
AutonomousRed +4
6Leave3
2Coral scored#2
10Coral points9
16Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +7
14Coral scored#10
49Coral points36
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#2
6Processor points12
8Net points8
14Algae points20
63Total teleop56
Reef
5L4#4
5L3#3
3L2#3
3L1 · trough#2
19Game pieces#16
BargeBlue +20
6Cage & park26
6Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +5
4Foul points0
89Total score94

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.91.6
31.332.9
Auto10.6
Teleop20.0
End6.3
blue by 4.5
41.41.5
36.638.0
Auto4.6
Teleop29.6
End7.2
Second
1212
#13
26.32.6
18.220.8
Auto2.8
Teleop17.1
End6.4
red by 5.6
3009
#16
20.71.5
18.520.0
Auto3.3
Teleop10.9
End6.5
Third
9059
#24
16.92.6
12.214.8
Auto4.1
Teleop10.9
End1.9
blue by 2.8
698
#19
19.82.5
16.819.2
Auto1.5
Teleop16.4
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
41%Auto oddsEarned30%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
41%Barge oddsMissed38%Barge oddsEarned