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Red73
301914.7
77558.9
764528.3
Blue94
950142.1
116024.4
6021.7
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5111001001507394

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+19
Endgame+21
Fouls+21
AutonomousBlue +7
3Leave9
1Coral scored#1
6Coral points7
9Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +12
13Coral scored#11
46Coral points38
1Processor algae#3
2Net algae#4
6Processor points18
8Net points16
14Algae points34
60Total teleop72
Reef
7L4#5
4L3#3
2L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
17Game pieces#19
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +21
0Foul points0
73Total score94

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7645
#28
28.30.5
26.026.5
Auto7.1
Teleop18.9
End2.3
blue by 13.8
42.10.7
40.840.1
Auto6.6
Teleop31.9
End3.5
Second
3019
#38
14.70.8
15.416.3
Auto2.3
Teleop11.5
End0.9
blue by 9.6
1160
#10
24.41.1
23.222.0
Auto7.5
Teleop13.9
End3.0
Third
7755
#40
8.90.8
7.68.5
Auto3.8
Teleop4.5
End0.6
blue by 12.8
60
#17
21.71.1
25.224.1
Auto4.5
Teleop14.1
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
58%Auto oddsMissed75%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
8%Barge oddsMissed52%Barge oddsMissed