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Red59
77558.9
414627.5
240327.7
Blue89
943258.1
970410.9
1049111.1
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6770506080905989

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+21
Teleop+18
Endgame+30
Fouls+30
AutonomousBlue +21
0Leave9
2Coral scored#4
9Coral points21
9Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +3
11Coral scored#8
38Coral points27
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#3
6Processor points6
4Net points12
10Algae points18
48Total teleop45
Reef
5L4#5
3L3#2
4L2#3
1L1 · trough#2
15Game pieces#16
BargeBlue +12
2Cage & park14
2Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +30
0Foul points0
59Total score89

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2403
#22
27.70.2
25.325.1
Auto3.0
Teleop22.8
End2.0
blue by 30.4
58.12.7
50.353.0
Auto13.9
Teleop35.0
End9.1
Second
4146
#21
27.50.2
27.227.0
Auto3.1
Teleop23.0
End1.4
red by 16.4
11.12.7
6.99.6
Auto3.3
Teleop4.9
End2.9
Third
7755
#40
8.90.2
8.58.3
Auto3.8
Teleop4.5
End0.6
blue by 2.0
9704
#32
10.92.7
6.08.6
Auto3.4
Teleop6.4
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
27%Auto oddsMissed24%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
19%Barge oddsMissed42%Barge oddsEarned