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Red72
247830.6
300920.7
301914.7
Blue107
35964.7
294523.3
69228.8
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9211540608014016018020072107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+11
Teleop+27
Endgame+35
Fouls+35
AutonomousBlue +11
3Leave0
1Coral scored#4
6Coral points20
9Total auto20
TeleoperatedBlue +16
12Coral scored#14
43Coral points49
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#3
6Processor points12
8Net points12
14Algae points24
57Total teleop73
Reef
4L4#5
3L3#6
4L2#5
2L1 · trough#2
16Game pieces#23
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +35
0Foul points0
72Total score107

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2478
#12
30.61.7
36.434.7
Auto5.2
Teleop24.1
End1.3
blue by 34.1
359
#1
64.70.2
60.960.8
Auto15.8
Teleop38.1
End10.7
Second
3009
#16
20.71.2
24.223.0
Auto3.3
Teleop10.9
End6.5
blue by 2.6
2945
#30
23.30.2
24.524.3
Auto4.0
Teleop17.8
End1.5
Third
3019
#38
14.71.7
18.116.4
Auto2.3
Teleop11.5
End0.9
red by 6.0
6922
#26
8.80.2
12.812.5
Auto2.5
Teleop5.2
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
66%Auto oddsMissed82%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed10%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
25%Barge oddsMissed81%Barge oddsEarned