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Red86
6021.7
414627.5
1011421.8
Blue118
699556.8
116512.3
905916.9
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions708420406010012014086118

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+21
Teleop+34
Endgame+32
Fouls+32
AutonomousBlue +21
3Leave3
1Coral scored#5
6Coral points27
9Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +13
12Coral scored#14
43Coral points52
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#4
6Processor points6
12Net points16
18Algae points22
61Total teleop74
Reef
6L4#8
3L3#6
2L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
17Game pieces#24
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +32
0Foul points0
86Total score118

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4146
#21
27.51.0
26.527.5
Auto3.1
Teleop23.0
End1.4
blue by 29.3
56.82.5
54.957.4
Auto14.9
Teleop34.8
End7.1
Second
21.80.9
19.620.5
Auto2.4
Teleop13.5
End5.9
red by 4.9
9059
#24
16.92.8
14.817.5
Auto4.1
Teleop10.9
End1.9
Third
60
#17
21.71.0
20.721.7
Auto4.5
Teleop14.1
End3.2
red by 9.4
1165
#25
12.32.8
7.810.6
Auto5.3
Teleop4.5
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
27%Auto oddsMissed54%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
2%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
42%Barge oddsEarned75%Barge oddsEarned