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Red109
330936.9
950142.1
116512.3
Blue83
913429.9
641331.8
970410.9
81%Model gave it19%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions98722040608012014016010983

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+28Auto
+48Teleop
+48Endgame
+26Fouls
AutonomousRed +28
6Leave3
6Coral scored#1
31Coral points6
37Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +20
12Coral scored#9
42Coral points32
1Processor algae#0
3Net algae#2
6Processor points0
12Net points8
18Algae points8
60Total teleop40
Reef
7L4#3
5L3#2
4L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
22Game pieces#12
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Penalties & totalRed +26
8Foul points30
109Total score83

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.10.3
40.440.8
Auto6.6
Teleop31.9
End3.5
red by 10.3
6413
#15
31.80.4
30.630.3
Auto5.9
Teleop24.9
End1.1
Second
36.90.3
35.235.5
Auto10.6
Teleop20.0
End6.3
red by 7.0
29.90.4
28.728.4
Auto5.0
Teleop23.3
End1.7
Third
1165
#25
12.30.3
10.611.0
Auto5.3
Teleop4.5
End2.4
red by 1.4
9704
#32
10.90.4
9.79.3
Auto3.4
Teleop6.4
End1.1