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Red129
699556.8
905916.9
656041.4
Blue121
822943.9
301914.7
248642.7
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1281086080100120140160180200129121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
+12Teleop
+2Endgame
+8Fouls
AutonomousBlue +4
9Leave6
3Coral scored#4
13Coral points20
22Total auto26
TeleoperatedRed +16
16Coral scored#12
59Coral points43
1Processor algae#1
5Net algae#5
6Processor points6
20Net points20
26Algae points26
85Total teleop69
Reef
7L4#5
5L3#5
5L2#4
2L1 · trough#2
25Game pieces#22
BargeBlue +10
16Cage & park26
16Total endgame26
Penalties & totalRed +8
6Foul points0
129Total score121

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
56.80.1
58.058.1
Auto14.9
Teleop34.8
End7.1
red by 12.9
43.90.4
43.844.2
Auto8.2
Teleop27.5
End8.2
Second
41.40.1
42.642.7
Auto4.6
Teleop29.6
End7.2
blue by 1.3
42.70.4
42.643.0
Auto10.2
Teleop23.8
End8.7
Third
9059
#24
16.90.1
18.118.2
Auto4.1
Teleop10.9
End1.9
red by 2.2
3019
#38
14.70.4
14.615.1
Auto2.3
Teleop11.5
End0.9