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Red195
441572.7
970419.0
943262.9
Blue142
49867.0
394420.7
502661.8
55%Model gave it45%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions161156100200250195142

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+27Teleop
+47Endgame
+53Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
9Leave6
7Coral scored#7
35Coral points34
44Total auto40
TeleoperatedRed +23
22Coral scored#17
79Coral points60
2Processor algae#2
7Net algae#6
12Processor points12
28Net points24
40Algae points36
119Total teleop96
Reef
10L4#11
8L3#4
6L2#6
5L1 · trough#3
38Game pieces#32
BargeRed +20
26Cage & park6
26Total endgame6
Penalties & totalRed +53
6Foul points0
195Total score142

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
72.70.8
71.872.7
Auto20.7
Teleop42.0
End9.9
red by 5.7
498
#4
67.00.2
67.267.0
Auto17.8
Teleop42.1
End7.1
Second
62.90.8
62.162.9
Auto18.2
Teleop35.6
End9.1
red by 1.1
61.80.2
62.061.8
Auto20.7
Teleop33.3
End7.8
Third
9704
#33
19.00.8
18.219.0
Auto4.7
Teleop13.7
End0.6
blue by 1.7
3944
#32
20.70.2
20.920.7
Auto4.9
Teleop14.7
End1.2