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Red96
172631.9
394420.7
237531.6
Blue83
121223.9
247836.2
1050626.2
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions788740601001209683

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+21Teleop
+13Endgame
+13Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
0Leave6
3Coral scored#1
16Coral points6
16Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +17
16Coral scored#11
56Coral points39
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#3
6Processor points6
12Net points12
18Algae points18
74Total teleop57
Reef
5L4#5
9L3#4
3L2#1
2L1 · trough#2
23Game pieces#16
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +13
0Foul points0
96Total score83

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.92.7
24.627.3
Auto3.7
Teleop22.8
End5.3
blue by 4.3
2478
#25
36.20.5
31.431.9
Auto6.6
Teleop27.3
End2.4
Second
2375
#16
31.61.6
27.829.4
Auto7.2
Teleop22.6
End1.8
red by 5.3
26.20.8
17.918.6
Auto4.5
Teleop19.8
End2.0
Third
3944
#32
20.72.7
16.519.2
Auto4.9
Teleop14.7
End1.2
blue by 3.2
1212
#17
23.90.5
26.927.4
Auto2.8
Teleop14.8
End6.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
34%Auto oddsEarned70%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
46%Barge oddsMissed31%Barge oddsEarned