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Red13
683310.3
77035.0
Blue83
1025618.9
69815.1
237531.6
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions377102060801001201383

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+16
Teleop+70
Endgame+68
Fouls+70
AutonomousBlue +16
3Leave3
0Coral scored#3
0Coral points16
3Total auto19
TeleoperatedBlue +54
1Coral scored#13
4Coral points48
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#2
0Processor points6
4Net points8
4Algae points14
8Total teleop62
Reef
1L4#6
0L3#5
0L2#2
0L1 · trough#3
2Game pieces#19
BargeRed +2
2Cage & park0
2Total endgame0
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +70
0Foul points2
13Total score83

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6833
#42
10.32.8
6.63.9
Auto5.1
Teleop4.4
End0.7
blue by 21.3
2375
#16
31.61.4
29.631.0
Auto7.2
Teleop22.6
End1.8
Second
8.91.7
12.110.5
Auto3.6
Teleop3.1
End2.2
blue by 10.0
18.92.3
13.716.0
Auto5.1
Teleop12.4
End1.4
Third
7703
#36
5.02.8
19.316.6
Auto2.6
Teleop1.5
End0.9
blue by 10.1
698
#30
15.11.4
16.918.3
Auto2.5
Teleop11.3
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
40%Auto oddsMissed16%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
25%Barge oddsMissed35%Barge oddsMissed