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Red84
970419.0
909114.4
641341.0
Blue78
385312.5
635231.4
172631.9
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions49980204060801201401608478

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+18Teleop
+6Endgame
+6Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
6Leave3
1Coral scored#1
7Coral points3
13Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +11
13Coral scored#12
45Coral points44
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
12Processor points6
12Net points8
24Algae points14
69Total teleop58
Reef
5L4#5
5L3#4
2L2#3
2L1 · trough#1
19Game pieces#16
BargeBlue +12
2Cage & park14
2Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +6
0Foul points0
84Total score78

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.02.4
32.134.4
Auto7.9
Teleop32.1
End1.0
red by 9.1
31.90.3
29.329.0
Auto3.7
Teleop22.8
End5.3
Second
9704
#33
19.02.4
10.412.8
Auto4.7
Teleop13.7
End0.6
blue by 12.4
6352
#12
31.40.3
28.528.2
Auto6.0
Teleop17.7
End7.7
Third
9091
#41
14.43.9
6.210.1
Auto3.1
Teleop9.7
End1.6
red by 1.9
3853
#38
12.50.3
22.922.6
Auto3.8
Teleop6.3
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
60%Auto oddsMissed68%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
7%Barge oddsMissed60%Barge oddsEarned