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Red44
683310.3
884819.9
641341.0
Blue53
77035.0
1050626.2
414629.2
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions84690501001502004453

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
Teleop+9
Endgame+9
Fouls+9
AutonomousBlue +4
0Leave6
1Coral scored#1
6Coral points4
6Total auto10
TeleoperatedBlue +5
7Coral scored#7
24Coral points25
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#2
6Processor points6
4Net points8
10Algae points14
34Total teleop39
Reef
4L4#4
2L3#2
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
10Game pieces#11
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +9
0Foul points0
44Total score53

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.01.9
31.829.9
Auto7.9
Teleop32.1
End1.0
red by 11.9
4146
#18
29.20.6
27.526.9
Auto5.7
Teleop21.6
End1.9
Second
8848
#28
19.93.2
23.620.4
Auto4.2
Teleop14.4
End1.3
blue by 6.3
26.29.5
26.216.8
Auto4.5
Teleop19.8
End2.0
Third
6833
#42
10.33.2
17.414.2
Auto5.1
Teleop4.4
End0.7
red by 5.3
7703
#36
5.01.0
16.915.9
Auto2.6
Teleop1.5
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
50%Auto oddsMissed37%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
22%Barge oddsMissed22%Barge oddsMissed