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Red123
641341.0
121223.9
315841.2
Blue49
69815.1
394420.7
733321.5
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11054010015012349

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+64Teleop
+80Endgame
+74Fouls
Autonomouslevel
0Leave9
3Coral scored#1
16Coral points7
16Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +64
20Coral scored#5
73Coral points19
1Processor algae#0
3Net algae#2
6Processor points0
12Net points8
18Algae points8
91Total teleop27
Reef
10L4#2
6L3#2
5L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
27Game pieces#8
BargeRed +16
16Cage & park0
16Total endgame0
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +74
0Foul points6
123Total score49

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3158
#11
41.21.9
35.036.9
Auto4.7
Teleop33.6
End2.9
red by 19.8
7333
#35
21.50.7
19.919.1
Auto3.6
Teleop16.0
End1.9
Second
41.01.9
35.737.5
Auto7.9
Teleop32.1
End1.0
red by 20.3
3944
#32
20.71.2
16.114.8
Auto4.9
Teleop14.7
End1.2
Third
1212
#17
23.91.9
24.526.3
Auto2.8
Teleop14.8
End6.4
red by 8.9
698
#30
15.10.7
18.217.5
Auto2.5
Teleop11.3
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
70%Auto oddsEarned11%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed2%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
27%Barge oddsEarned40%Barge oddsMissed