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Red56
880624.7
69815.1
357720.3
Blue79
172631.9
237531.6
121223.9
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions60992040801201405679

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
Teleop+13
Endgame+25
Fouls+23
AutonomousBlue +4
0Leave6
2Coral scored#2
12Coral points10
12Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +9
6Coral scored#10
20Coral points37
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#1
6Processor points6
12Net points4
18Algae points10
38Total teleop47
Reef
4L4#6
1L3#3
2L2#1
1L1 · trough#2
12Game pieces#14
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Penalties & totalBlue +23
2Foul points0
56Total score79

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8806
#13
24.70.2
25.125.0
Auto4.1
Teleop13.8
End6.9
blue by 7.2
31.90.2
31.831.6
Auto3.7
Teleop22.8
End5.3
Second
20.30.2
20.820.6
Auto5.8
Teleop13.1
End1.3
blue by 11.3
2375
#16
31.60.2
31.531.3
Auto7.2
Teleop22.6
End1.8
Third
698
#30
15.10.2
15.515.3
Auto2.5
Teleop11.3
End1.3
blue by 8.9
1212
#17
23.90.2
23.923.7
Auto2.8
Teleop14.8
End6.4