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Red26
2486B15.7
498B19.7
970414.9
Blue82
248647.0
90918.7
1050628.0
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions621070501502002682

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+54
Endgame+56
Fouls+56
AutonomousBlue +10
0Leave3
1Coral scored#3
6Coral points13
6Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +44
4Coral scored#11
16Coral points40
0Processor algae#2
0Net algae#2
0Processor points12
0Net points8
0Algae points20
16Total teleop60
Reef
2L4#6
2L3#4
0L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
5Game pieces#18
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +56
0Foul points0
26Total score82

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
498B
#7Sur
19.73.7
23.920.2
Auto6.6
Teleop10.3
End2.8
blue by 27.2
47.00.8
49.548.7
Auto15.1
Teleop25.5
End6.4
Second
15.74.0
18.114.1
Auto4.3
Teleop9.0
End2.4
blue by 12.3
10506
#6Sur
28.00.8
29.328.5
Auto3.6
Teleop22.6
End1.8
Third
9704
#5Sur
14.92.6
17.514.9
Auto3.6
Teleop10.4
End0.8
red by 6.2
9091
#10Sur
8.70.8
9.99.0
Auto2.5
Teleop5.2
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
70%Auto oddsMissed83%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
21%Barge oddsMissed35%Barge oddsMissed