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Red28
9968.7
99993.4
943259.6
Blue69
116536.5
2486B15.7
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1034801502002869

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+1Auto
Teleop+43
Endgame+47
Fouls+41
AutonomousRed +1
0Leave6
3Coral scored#1
14Coral points7
14Total auto13
TeleoperatedBlue +44
2Coral scored#11
6Coral points40
0Processor algae#1
0Net algae#1
0Processor points6
0Net points4
0Algae points10
6Total teleop50
Reef
1L4#6
2L3#3
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#2
5Game pieces#14
BargeBlue +4
2Cage & park6
2Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +41
6Foul points0
28Total score69

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9432
#1Sur
59.64.2
63.259.0
Auto16.5
Teleop35.7
End7.4
red by 23.1
1165
#11Sur
36.51.1
35.036.1
Auto8.1
Teleop27.0
End1.3
Second
996
#13
8.74.2
12.98.7
Auto3.7
Teleop2.3
End2.6
blue by 7.1
2486B
#15Sur
15.71.5
14.115.6
Auto4.3
Teleop9.0
End2.4
Third
9999
#16DQSur
3.46.1
9.53.4
Auto4.4
Teleop0.1
End-1.1
blue by 2.8
2375B
#12Sur
6.21.5
3.85.4
Auto3.0
Teleop3.4
End-0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
97%Auto oddsEarned69%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
45%Barge oddsMissed11%Barge oddsMissed