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Red159
943259.6
240347.4
Blue49
970414.9
1050628.0
77039.1
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12947010015020015949

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+27Auto
+84Teleop
+92Endgame
+110Fouls
AutonomousRed +27
6Leave6
5Coral scored#0
27Coral points0
33Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +57
17Coral scored#8
62Coral points29
3Processor algae#1
4Net algae#1
18Processor points6
16Net points4
34Algae points10
96Total teleop39
Reef
8L4#3
8L3#2
4L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
29Game pieces#10
BargeRed +8
12Cage & park4
12Total endgame4
Penalties & totalRed +110
18Foul points0
159Total score49

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
59.60.7
59.059.6
Auto16.5
Teleop35.7
End7.4
red by 31.5
28.00.1
28.528.4
Auto3.6
Teleop22.6
End1.8
Second
47.40.7
46.847.5
Auto7.1
Teleop39.1
End1.2
red by 32.5
14.90.1
14.914.9
Auto3.6
Teleop10.4
End0.8
Third
6.20.9
5.46.2
Auto3.0
Teleop3.4
End-0.2
blue by 2.9
9.10.1
9.59.4
Auto3.1
Teleop4.2
End1.8