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Red77
770313.8
99121.5
998211.2
Blue118
909111.4
240348.7
498B24.1
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions51109015020077118

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+43
Endgame+41
Fouls+41
AutonomousBlue +10
3Leave3
1Coral scored#3
3Coral points13
6Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +33
10Coral scored#19
35Coral points68
2Processor algae#2
3Net algae#3
12Processor points12
12Net points12
24Algae points24
59Total teleop92
Reef
4L4#8
2L3#7
3L2#4
2L1 · trough#3
16Game pieces#27
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +41
6Foul points6
77Total score118

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
991
#11
21.50.5
21.221.8
Auto2.9
Teleop17.5
End1.1
blue by 27.1
48.70.5
47.648.0
Auto7.8
Teleop37.6
End3.2
Second
13.80.5
8.99.5
Auto3.1
Teleop8.6
End2.2
blue by 10.2
24.10.5
21.822.2
Auto5.5
Teleop16.8
End1.8
Third
11.20.9
6.97.8
Auto2.1
Teleop8.6
End0.4
blue by 0.2
9091
#12
11.40.5
11.111.6
Auto2.7
Teleop8.3
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
6%Auto oddsMissed77%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
12%Barge oddsMissed20%Barge oddsMissed