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Red52
909111.4
991B13.1
1050625.8
Blue100
99613.9
770313.8
240348.7
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions628605010015020025052100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+38
Endgame+48
Fouls+48
AutonomousBlue +10
0Leave9
2Coral scored#2
9Coral points10
9Total auto19
TeleoperatedBlue +28
8Coral scored#14
29Coral points49
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#3
6Processor points6
4Net points12
10Algae points18
39Total teleop67
Reef
3L4#6
3L3#4
3L2#4
1L1 · trough#2
12Game pieces#20
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +48
0Foul points0
52Total score100

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.80.3
27.427.1
Auto2.8
Teleop21.1
End1.9
blue by 22.9
48.71.8
48.049.9
Auto7.8
Teleop37.6
End3.2
Second
991B
#10
13.10.6
12.211.7
Auto1.1
Teleop11.0
End1.0
blue by 0.8
996
#6
13.91.8
9.911.7
Auto3.3
Teleop7.6
End3.0
Third
9091
#12
11.40.3
11.611.2
Auto2.7
Teleop8.3
End0.4
blue by 2.4
13.81.8
9.511.3
Auto3.1
Teleop8.6
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
51%Auto oddsMissed68%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
15%Barge oddsMissed20%Barge oddsEarned