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Red65
99613.9
909111.4
498B24.1
Blue73
237532.2
770313.8
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions536101001502006573

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+10
Endgame+10
Fouls+8
AutonomousBlue +10
3Leave0
1Coral scored#4
6Coral points19
9Total auto19
Teleoperatedlevel
11Coral scored#11
38Coral points40
1Processor algae#0
1Net algae#2
6Processor points0
4Net points8
10Algae points8
48Total teleop48
Reef
3L4#4
3L3#5
3L2#4
3L1 · trough#2
14Game pieces#17
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +8
2Foul points0
65Total score73

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.11.0
22.523.5
Auto5.5
Teleop16.8
End1.8
blue by 8.1
32.21.3
32.133.3
Auto8.2
Teleop22.3
End1.8
Second
996
#6
13.91.0
11.712.7
Auto3.3
Teleop7.6
End3.0
Level
13.81.3
11.312.6
Auto3.1
Teleop8.6
End2.2
Third
9091
#12
11.41.0
11.212.2
Auto2.7
Teleop8.3
End0.4
red by 2.0
9.51.3
7.58.8
Auto3.6
Teleop5.5
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
68%Auto oddsMissed54%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
11%Barge oddsMissed11%Barge oddsMissed