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Red124
909111.4
49859.5
240348.7
Blue71
498B24.1
991B13.1
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1533505010020025012471

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+45Teleop
+47Endgame
+53Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
0Leave0
5Coral scored#2
23Coral points9
23Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +31
20Coral scored#13
73Coral points48
0Processor algae#1
4Net algae#1
0Processor points6
16Net points4
16Algae points10
89Total teleop58
Reef
11L4#7
7L3#4
3L2#3
4L1 · trough#1
29Game pieces#17
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +53
6Foul points0
124Total score71

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
498
#4
59.51.5
60.559.0
Auto10.7
Teleop42.0
End6.9
red by 35.5
24.10.8
23.524.2
Auto5.5
Teleop16.8
End1.8
Second
48.71.5
49.648.1
Auto7.8
Teleop37.6
End3.2
red by 35.6
991B
#10
13.11.1
11.312.4
Auto1.1
Teleop11.0
End1.0
Third
9091
#12
11.41.5
12.210.7
Auto2.7
Teleop8.3
End0.4
red by 2.0
9.50.8
8.89.6
Auto3.6
Teleop5.5
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
88%Auto oddsEarned43%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
11%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
47%Barge oddsMissed11%Barge oddsMissed