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Red107
248640.6
237538.6
909111.9
Blue61
775510.0
970412.0
1050625.8
94%Model gave it6%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11649010015020010761

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+18Auto
+28Teleop
+28Endgame
+46Fouls
AutonomousRed +18
6Leave9
5Coral scored#1
24Coral points3
30Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +10
11Coral scored#6
41Coral points23
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#4
6Processor points6
8Net points16
14Algae points22
55Total teleop45
Reef
4L4#3
6L3#2
3L2#1
3L1 · trough#1
19Game pieces#12
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Penalties & totalRed +46
18Foul points0
107Total score61

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.60.0
40.140.0
Auto13.8
Teleop22.6
End4.1
red by 14.8
25.80.3
25.025.4
Auto2.9
Teleop22.1
End0.9
Second
38.60.0
38.138.1
Auto10.7
Teleop26.2
End1.7
red by 26.6
12.00.3
11.311.6
Auto3.4
Teleop8.0
End0.6
Third
9091
#13
11.90.0
11.411.4
Auto1.9
Teleop10.1
End-0.0
red by 1.9
10.00.3
9.710.0
Auto4.2
Teleop3.0
End2.8