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Red80
116542.6
38538.8
45656.4
Blue33
905913.1
1025612.6
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions67630501001508033

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+6Auto
+55Teleop
+53Endgame
+47Fouls
AutonomousRed +6
6Leave3
1Coral scored#0
3Coral points0
9Total auto3
TeleoperatedRed +49
8Coral scored#0
29Coral points0
2Processor algae#0
2Net algae#0
12Processor points0
8Net points0
20Algae points0
49Total teleop0
Reef
3L4#0
2L3#0
2L2#0
2L1 · trough#0
13Game pieces#0
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +47
18Foul points24
80Total score33

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.60.1
36.536.6
Auto9.9
Teleop32.2
End0.5
red by 29.4
9059
#28
13.13.3
23.820.4
Auto4.5
Teleop5.9
End2.8
Second
3853
#21
8.80.1
12.512.6
Auto2.6
Teleop3.7
End2.4
blue by 3.8
12.63.3
17.614.3
Auto3.0
Teleop7.5
End2.1
Third
4565
#31
6.40.1
11.211.4
Auto1.7
Teleop2.0
End2.6
red by 1.1
5.34.0
8.212.2
Auto1.7
Teleop1.9
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
41%Auto oddsMissed26%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
2%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
25%Barge oddsEarned27%Barge oddsMissed