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Red88
247839.4
240356.8
Blue21
6987.2
2486B10.4
905913.1
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions112260501001502008821

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+61Teleop
+73Endgame
+67Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
9Leave0
1Coral scored#2
7Coral points9
16Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +54
11Coral scored#1
38Coral points2
1Processor algae#0
3Net algae#0
6Processor points0
12Net points0
18Algae points0
56Total teleop2
Reef
4L4#1
4L3#1
2L2#1
2L1 · trough#0
16Game pieces#3
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +67
0Foul points6
88Total score21

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
56.80.7
52.852.1
Auto9.8
Teleop40.4
End6.7
red by 43.7
9059
#28
13.11.7
16.614.9
Auto4.5
Teleop5.9
End2.8
Second
39.40.7
36.936.2
Auto6.3
Teleop31.0
End2.0
red by 29.0
10.41.7
10.89.1
Auto3.4
Teleop5.4
End1.6
Third
8.51.2
9.38.0
Auto1.3
Teleop4.8
End2.4
red by 1.4
698
#30
7.21.7
13.111.4
Auto2.8
Teleop4.1
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
79%Auto oddsEarned16%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
42%Barge oddsEarned22%Barge oddsMissed